Saturday, November 27, 2010

TraderMark's Trading Maxim


I am neither a bull or bear .
I place my bet on either bull or bear
It's always a tug of war between
The bulls and bears
On the side of the stronger I will be.
Player I am not.
Participant I am not.
I just place my bets on the stronger side.

Friday, November 26, 2010

LYC : Lynas

On the whole LYC does look a bit toppish. Will probably call a top at $2.00.
It has fan out from a base of $0.05 [?] and has touched the resistance at $1.80
may retest or make another high at $2.00.

Price-Volume on a whole has been very bullish the past several months.
Only thing is this month with a higher volume it has yet to make a new high.
Although the candle for the month will only complete next week to determine
if its below or higher than previous high.
If below, a bit of consolidation or correction may take place.

Stochs is near extreme over-bought. On a monthly basis.

$1.80 is key level now, to see how prices will negotiate this resistance.
Next level will be the long term resistance line at $2.00.




Drilling in abit more to see the weekly price structure, the correction to $1.20 could either
be a
wave "a" - which means prices is nearing completion of wave b and a downward "C' to follow or wave 4 - which means currently wave 5 is in progress which may topped at $2.00







possible scenatio :
Currently a corrective Wave B advance is in progress
and any corporate develpment is already priced in
and Wave C down to follow.

With daily stochs and monthly stochs at extreme or nearing extreme, upside maybe limited
Prefer a play to the down side at current level or higher or at $2.00.









Thursday, November 25, 2010

Singapore Airlines : A great way to fly ??

SIA. Prices has traced a 5 wave uptrend. Anticipating correction back to $14 - $12 level.




On the daily chart front....Prices has already started the descend.
Now is to pick a tine point for a short entry,
As tempted as it is...will wait to see how the 3 waves pattern develop
And sell on a bounce.....

Coca Cola in Africa : last round.

TraderMark's Trading Maxim :Greed & Gambling

Greed is oversizing the position
Greed is over trading the account
Greed is pushing the boundary of technical limits

Greed is instigated by neediness.
Neediness pushed us to want more.

Gambling is depends on luck.
Trading is as much science and art.
A trader's luck is knowledge and understanding
of Technical rules of market behaviour.

A good trader does not depend on luck.
His luck is his skill as a market technician.
A good trader knows his skill and his limitations
And stays within it.
As long as he stays within it and not wonder out
he will be protected from
Greed and fear.

He must know his financial position
and what he realistically can take from the market.
Less is fear
More is greed.

Greed is triggered by his needs and his fantasies
Fear is triggered by his insecurities.

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

AudUsd : Has the "C" wave completed ??

 

For the previous count to be valid, prices should not go above wave1
Which it has, based on intra-day low but no on close.
Still gunning for a major 5th wave down,
But prices seems to be forming a mini 5th of the C.
looking for a top of the 4th [Sorry 2 should be a 4]

AudUsd : Head & Shoulder : daily chart

Tuesday, November 23, 2010

AudUsd : 2 hourly : 5th ??

Fwd: AudUsd : Head & Shoulder


Subject: AudUsd : Head & Shoulder






In Pda brevity mode.

DIA : Diamond : An update



Further fall expected at least in the near term.
to lower trend line of triangle.
50% fibo sits at 107
Prices currently sitting precariously at support.
A break will send it diving.

Monday, November 22, 2010

DBS Singapore : Trend channel



Prices expected to continue the drive down the trend highway to $13.25.
Prices would have U-turned if it goes above $14.20




Friday, November 19, 2010

AudUsd_4Windows

30 Minute chart : Support       9839
                          Resistance  9902
 
2 hourly and 4 hourly chart : Prices still sitting above the triple moving averages band
 
 

Twin movement between AudUSD hourly and daily Chart

Thursday, November 18, 2010

DIAMOND : DIA : Dow Jones


Dow very impessive showing yesterday.
Triple digit gain almost 200pts with string volume.
However still holding to view to is a corrective advance
probably consoildating at or near these levels
with stochs turning up from bottom
probably additional momentum to the upside
which is capped by :
1. Resistance line
2. Moving averages bands
3. Fibo retracement percentages.

Expect a consolidation , maybe a complex, maybe a triange
Before the move down.

DBS : favouring to the downside


Still expectng DBS to trade to to the lower trend line.
This is a weekly chart.
$14 and $15 corridor has been a major contesting ground
between the bulls and bears.
With the bulls defending the $14 even with heavy selling volume.
Bulls and bears are equally matched at the moment.
This week so far has been low on volume.
Showing abit of exhaustion on both side.
Dow has jumped overnight with a triple digit gain.
Seniment should be initially bullish.
As for DBS, favouring a continuation of the downward movement as
has been initiated over the last 4 to 5 weeks.

AudUsd - Corrective advance to re-test 1.00 again ??


AudUsd finishing off the 5th wave of the corrective C wave
A small triangle has formed in the C's 4th wave.
Stochs has bounced off at te major juncture of the corective trend channel.

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

If Wave 4 divides the whole impulse wave by 61.8% Fibo
Then the remainder Wave 5 makes up the 38.2%
Which puts it to 1.5773 to complete the 5 as well as the 5th wave of it.

Mini 5 th wave

FMG : Correction



Prices seems to have topped with the 5th wave peaked out.
Stochastics showing a bearish divergence to price.
Prices traced out a 5 wave elliot.
Looking for retracement to at least 38.2% Fibo at around $6.00
If really bearish maybe to $5.65.

USDJPY : Correction. Current top ??


GBPUSD : "C" wave



Wave "A" took about 10 x 8hr bar.
Presume Wave C take about the same.
That will be about 80 hours
Slightly more than 3 days.
That will be Friday night.

Thursday, November 11, 2010

Fwd: Head & shoulder in the making ??


To: "Tradermark.news" <tradermark.news@gmail.com>
Subject: Head & shoulder in the making ??





Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Contrarian take on stock market’s prospects

"MarketWatch Email A Friend Logo"

Mark Hulbert
Contrarian take on stock market's prospects


Last Update: 12:01 AM ET Nov 9, 2010

As recently as last Friday, sentiment conditions supported a continuation of the bull market. Over the last couple of days, however, quite a few advisers have jumped on the bullish bandwagon, and as a result, contrarian analysis now concludes that the market is vulnerable to at least a short-term decline, reports Mark Hulbert. ...Read the rest of the story

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Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Strategist sees rally on horizon

Wednesday, 10 November, 2010

I thought you might like this article

Strategist sees rally on horizon

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AUDUSD : 5 wave