Tuesday, June 7, 2011

AudUsd vs NzdUsd

AudUsd tracks the NzdUsd pretty much.
With slight variations.

May02 - Aud peaked, so did Nzd
However Nzd went to make new high but Aud didn't.

So what is Nzd Wave 3 peaked is actually Aud Wave 5 peaked.

Furthermore Nzd bottomed out Wave 4 on 16May
But Aud didn't bottomed out till about 2 weeks later
While Nzd wave 5 was in progress already

And if correct, Nzd will make a final push for a final wave 5
Whereas, Aud will peaked at Wave B

Whatever it is both will come down.
I would rather play NZD then Aud just because it's line & wave is simpler
Than Aud which tends to complex.


---------------------------------------


OPEC is in session whether to increase production to bring Oil prices down.
Suspect they will as Suadi the mail produce thru the Prince already signal last month in an interview with CNBC
already hinted that Oil prices should be $70-$80


If Oil production is cut
Oil will come down
So will all Commodities currency.

Stocks will climb initially only to continue the fall.
US$ will initially fall then climb further.

AudUsd - Hourly Chart

Is the bull party over ??

Arab Emirates

http://www.thenational.ae/business/aviation/more-planes-on-the-cards-as-emirates-expands

SPY : Very Bearish Structure !







Inside Boeing Factory

http://www.theage.com.au/travel/inside-boeings-dream-factory-20110606-1fowe.html

De-Nationalising of Nigerias' banks

De-Nationalisation of Sovereign assets
-------------------------------------------------
is a global them which ever way you want to see it. In this case, Nigeria's corruption and mismanagement of funds has led it down this path. And Sanusi well or ill intentioned is bent on going that path, whether in collusion with the global financial oligarch or with national interest at heart.


Seeking London funds
----------------------------
In their desperation to beat the deadline however, a report by Bloomberg, last week quoted Ibukun Adebayo, head of primary markets, for the Middle East and Africa, at the London Stock Exchange (LSE) as saying that some of the banks are nursing the ambition to seek listing in London, in a bid to raise funds before the deadline.
According to Adebayo, "financial services in Nigeria are an area where we see increases in listings," declining however to say how many banks had approached the bourse, citing confidentiality.

http://www.independentngonline.com/DailyIndependent/Article.aspx?id=35124

China's European Acquisition

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704355304576214683640225122.html

China's European Acquisition

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704355304576214683640225122.html

The 500 rulers of modern China


Bitter Chinese say that the clique of rich and powerful "500 families" that rule China, with their networks of cronies and hangers-on, increasingly resemble the Imperial Court with its gate-keeping eunuchs that was swept away by a series of revolutions after 1911.




Asia's Cross Investment

HA NOI — Singapore Technologies (ST) Telemedia, a subsidiary of Temasek Holdings, is urging the Vietnamese Government to accelerate the long-delayed equitisation of MobiFone, one of the three domestic leading mobile service providers.

Leaders of ST Telemedia paid a number of visits to Viet Nam over a year ago, focused on MobiFone's equitisation plan, and the Singapore company recently expressed its increasing concerns over the domestic firm's repeatedly delayed action, Dau Tu (Vietnam Investment Review) reported.



http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Economy/212038/Fast-equitisation-of-MobiFone-called-for.html

Dubai Residency Visa ? - Watch this Space.

Watch this Space !


http://www.emirates247.com/property/talks-of-dubai-residency-visa-for-property-owners-is-premature-2011-06-07-1.401572

Trump Jr into Indonesia

http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/business/trumps-target-indonesia-as-potential-property-gold-mine/445392

Ford looks to China, India & Africa : 60% of the World's population

US companies looks East for growth via market development. Namely China, India & Africa.
Combined they account for 60% of the world's population.

Not forgetting the increasing affluent middle east and especially if they allow women to drive in Suadi Arabia.

Ford should be taking up women rights in Suadi Arabia.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/43307716

Marriott Global Expansion for the next decade

New Market Development.
Marriott brand.
Hotel development & management definitely one way to play
The next decade.

Companies with global outlook wins
Provided they stay lean & mean & profitable.

Marriott new hotels development weightage by Regions ,
Asia : 50%
Europe : 10%
Arab : 20%
Americas : 20%

I think the weightage is fair, 50% of the developments is in Asia, given Asia includes to big heavy weights that have half the worlds population.

Arab(including Africa) has about 20% of the world population.


http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D9NMK8OG0.htm

EK : Eastman Kodak


EMC :

Bearish structure



Western Australia - UAE

http://www.ameinfo.com/267196-large.html

Vietnam to have SEA 1st Nuclear Power Plant

http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2011/6/6/nation/20110606200918&sec=nation

Monday, June 6, 2011

Global Funds Flow for next decade

Funds starting to flow into infrastructure projects.
Funds I presume that would usually find it's way into the equities Mkt.
With central banks decreasing money supply, and whatever is left is
channeled into tangible projects, only means less for equities,
if the funds don't actually flow out of equities into infrastructure.

I see funds going to
New Market : Arab World Renaissance
New Resources Mkt : Middle East, Africa, Asia
Global infrastructure repairs : Developed countries, including Australia
Emerging Mkt : China & India

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304432304576368521966678838.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Africa : Like China 20years ago ??

Africa : Like China 20years ago ??
Will you invest in Africa ?
What will you invest in Africa ?
When should you invest in Africa ?
How can you invest in Africa ?

China is already in Africa. More than many realize.

Africa is more like Shanghai in the 20s and 30s
foreign companies and countries try to have a slice of her
due to weak goverment structure.


Ernst & Young : 17 African Countries with Good Investment Potential

http://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/2011_Africa_Attractiveness_Survey/$FILE/11EDA187_attractiveness_africa_low_resolution_final.pdf

http://www.howwemadeitinafrica.com/18-african-countries-with-good-investment-potential/10287/

Warren Buffet : Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful, Fearful When Others Are Greedy !

http://www.thestar.com/article/1001323--olive-i-paid-a-price-for-greedy-gambling

Sunday, June 5, 2011

Arab Renaissance :

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/04/20/the_coming_arab_renaissance
Arabs are learning to solve their own problems. For the first time in more than 500 years, the convulsions rippling across the Arab world cannot be blamed on Ottoman conquest, European imperialism, American hegemony, or Israeli bullying. As unpredictable as the current situations in Bahrain, Egypt, Libya, Yemen, and other Arab states remain, we must remember that having had perhaps the worst possible leaders, their societies will very likely be better off in the medium and long term because their governance is for the first time becoming an inclusive arena -- both nationally and regionally. The smartest thing the West can do is to help them help themselves.

THD : Wave 4 Buy ? : Thailand Country ETF

Thailand's GE is around the corner.
Thaksin Red Shirt seems to have popular vote.
Will that be good for Thailand.
Thaksin is in Dubai in his little Thai Palace,
While sister YingLuck Shinawatra is leading the party.

THD is the de facto Thailand country ETF.
Is this is a Wave 4 buy ?

Google : Where is it going ?

Google :

Pentagon World Map



Its interesting how eveyone has a world map in which they see the world.
And interestingly this is how Pentagon divides up the world.

Eastern Australia is in Deep Reccession


East coast in 'deep recession': Linfox

Market watch top headlines

World reports

Stocks to watch

AZT, BTU, CPB, CVN, EAU, MCR, NWH, ROC,DOW, FGL, LLC, QAN, RIO, TAH,

AAP

June 05 2011, 12:40AM

By Kim Christian

SYDNEY, June 5 AAP - Eastern Australia is in "deep recession" and the NSW and Victorian manufacturing industries are "stuffed", the head of Linfox Logistics says.

Fresh from making a $68 million property acquisition in the mining boom state of Western Australia, Linfox Logistics chief executive Michael Byrne has dismissed suggestions the nation is dealing with a two-speed economy.

"It's a parallel universe that bears no relation to anything else on this planet," he told an American Chamber of Commerce event in Sydney on Friday.

"If you look at the world, eastern Australia is in deep recession, in my view, as is New Zealand."

WA was driving the national economy and Asia was a "different place again," Mr Byrne said.

"If we didn't have mining, Australia would be like Portugal, Spain, maybe Greece and Ireland," he said, referring to European debt problems.

Businesses in NSW, Victoria and Queensland were reducing numbers, while companies in WA were investing in resources projects, he said.

For the first time in more than half a century, the largest privately-owned transport company in the Asia-Pacific region hadn't hired anyone on Australia's east coast.

"I put 3,500 people on this year - 3,000 went into Asia, 500 went into WA and there was not one job, not one job, for the first time in 54 years, on the eastern seaboard," Mr Byrne said.

But he admits the company will never employ the same number of people in WA as in places such as Vietnam.

While it forked out astronomical wages in WA, Linfox employees earned 30 per cent more revenue than company employees in other Australian states.

Linfox revenue in WA has grown from nothing to $200 million in two and a half years.

"It took 54 years to build a $400 million dollar business in NSW. That will be done in WA in less that five," he said.

Mr Byrne believes also nothing can save manufacturing in Victoria and NSW.

"My own view is that they're both stuffed," he said.

"You've got the Australian dollar at record highs, you've got savings rates at 11 per cent, you've got immigration being cut from 330,000 to 160,000, you've got fuel at new record highs.

"Australian manufacturing at these levels is finished."

He added Sydney had "crossed over to the dark side" in terms of infrastructure, with congestion and old, inefficient networks.

He believes the only way to obtain the required labour for the mining sector is to boost immigration through the 457 Visa program based on equitable pay and conditions.

"I was at a Chevron meeting recently in WA where they needed something ridiculous like 6,000 engineers for Gorgon, Browse and those (LNG) projects. They said that Australia's not going to make them," Mr Byrne said.

"We're going to have to get them from overseas and I think Australia is going to have to get over its emotional argument about boat people."


http://www.tradingroom.com.au/apps/view_breaking_news_article.ac?page=/data/news_research/published/2011/6/156/catf_110605_124000_6098.html





AudUsd : Weekly Chart Bullish

AudUsd : Weekly chart.
Prices work down the daily close to form a weekly Doji
Following a bullish Harami on previous 2 week candle.

Prices form a hesistant Doji before RBA interest rate announcement.

.Up Trend intact

. Prices decline & hold with declining volume.

.Target 112 in 3 weeks.

FEED


AgFeed Industries, Inc. (AgFeed) is engaged in the animal nutrition and commercial hog producing businesses in the People's Republic of China through its indirect operating subsidiaries. It operates in two segments: animal feed nutrition and hog production. The Company's animal nutrition business consists of the research and development, manufacture, marketing and sale of additive premix (premix), concentrates and complete feed for use in the domestic animal husbandry markets, primarily for hog production in China. The Company operates five premix feed manufacturing facilities located in the cities of Nanchang, Shandong, Shanghai, Nanning and Hainan. It mainly produces hogs for slaughter and sells breeding stock. In September 2010, the Company acquired M2P2 LLC, a joint venture partner with AgFeed in AgFeed International Protein Technology Corp.


Monsanto : Mon : A play on Agriculture - Wheat


Monsanto Company (Monsanto), along with its subsidiaries, is a provider of agricultural products for farmers. The Company's seeds, biotechnology trait products, and herbicides provide farmers with solutions that improve productivity, reduce the costs of farming, and produce better foods for consumers and better feed for animals. It manages business in two segments: Seeds and Genomics, and Agricultural Productivity. In April 2010, the Company completed the acquisition of a corn and soybean processing plant located in Paine, Chile from Anasac, a company that provides seed processing services. In October 2009, the Company completed the acquisition of Seminium, S.A. (Seminium), a corn seed company. In February 2011, the Company acquired Divergence, Inc.