Thursday, September 30, 2010

Wednesday, September 29, 2010






Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Rolls Royce : Revisit




MCR : Mincor Resources







Monday, September 27, 2010

Fresh food price set for dramatic rise | Top Stories | BigPond News

A forecast dramatic rise in the cost of fresh food in the next decade will see low income earners less able to buy and eat healthy foods.

http://bigpondnews.com/articles/TopStories/2010/09/28/Fresh_food_price_set_for_dramatic_rise_518858.html

---
This message was sent by tradermark.news@gmail.com via http://addthis.com. Please note that AddThis does not verify email addresses.

Make sharing easier with the AddThis Toolbar: http://www.addthis.com/go/toolbar-em

Sunday, September 26, 2010

Future of cheap cotton and clothing | Finance | BigPond News

Many crops across Asia have been destroyed by floods, resulting in cotton prices rising to their highest level for 15 years - and 50% more than they were this time last year.

http://bigpondnews.com/articles/Finance/2010/09/26/Future_of_cheap_cotton_and_clothing_518299.html

---
This message was sent by trdaermark.perth@hotmail.com via http://addthis.com. Please note that AddThis does not verify email addresses.

Make sharing easier with the AddThis Toolbar: http://www.addthis.com/go/toolbar-em

Saturday, September 25, 2010


The new maxim :
1. Chart by chart. Market by market. Stock by stock. New York is New your. London is London. Tokyo is Tokyo. Sure the global financial industry is very much inter-related today, but as far as day trading goes, "Think day to day, See chart by chart and Trade stock by stock".
2. I have tried to think and trade longer term but I must confess, I have muck up. My psyche is not made for long term trade. My strategic setup is Ok but my tactical muck it up. I am a day trader, as my action confirms it. A swing trader at best. I kid myself not that I am a day trader. Although I dont see myself as one lest want to see myself as one. But alas the truth is I am a day trader.
3. My trades setup are good but I muck it up at exit. My trades are good but get stopped out either get whipsawed or I get nervous when it goes sideways when I expect it to shoot the next day or I would get nervous becasue of fresh input after the trade is in play. Most of the time if not all the time by news. My setup is base on charts but I just dont know whyI get myself affected by news. The stocks may hit turbulence, most of the time it recovers and contunue on the trend.

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Australia prime target for ATM skimming | Top Stories | BigPond News

He said the rollout of chip-and-pin technology involved more than banks.

http://bigpondnews.com/articles/TopStories/2010/09/22/Australia_prime_target_for_ATM_skimming_516592.html

---
This message was sent by tradermark.news.super@blogger.com via http://addthis.com. Please note that AddThis does not verify email addresses.

Make sharing easier with the AddThis Toolbar: http://www.addthis.com/go/toolbar-em

Stocks in play :
-------------------
1. BP : come back next month
2. RBS : come back to it in Xmas
3. WOW : target 27.75. End nxt wk.

"stock by stock; chart by chart; market by market"
- don't link them up. don't cross reference till you have work out the relationship.
- don't act on impulse on hot news.
Cool the news with logic.

Royal Bank of Scotland : RBS



Elliot count maybe wrong but prices is in triangular consolidation.

Monday, September 20, 2010

BP :




If by holding the trade risk/reward constant, what happens if I increase my position size ?

In Pda brevity mode.

Saturday, September 18, 2010





































5 Uncommon Rules of Wealthy Traders

4. They trade one market. ONE
I've talked with great traders who can trade futures, forex and stocks at the same time. They are a gifted tiny minority.
The vast majority of successful traders concentrate on one market and become so comfortable with it that they begin to "know" the behavior of that market just watching price and volume. Test yourself - if you aren't able to get rid of all your charts and simply look at price and volume to trade, you're probably not concentrating enough on one market in order to know its moods. What we're really talking about here, of course, is not the mood of the market itself but the moods of the market participants!
The gist of what I am thinking is basicaly summarizedin this article:
How to Improve Your Trading by Not Having An Opinion

It seems the more traders try to predict, the more it can't be done. Just like we cannot predict future life events, we cannot predict future market events. ........News forms opinions, trading oscillators form opinions; analysis forms opinions, analysts form opinions, etc., etc. As traders, we really do not know how the markets will react to news and financial recommendations. If we think we do, then we are forming an opinion about the news! How many times have companies come out with great earnings and sold off right after the announcement. And when it does the news commentator comes out and says well the stock ran up already in expectation of the good numbers and then sold off. And if the stock continued upward, the news commentator would say, good earnings drove the market upward, etc., etc. They operate on 20/20 hindsight. We as traders do not have this luxury. The less opinions you have, the better trader you will be! And it is that simple!!!!
Bennett A. McDowell, founder of http://www.traderscoach.com/, began his financial career on Wall Street in 1984, and later became a Registered Securities Broker and Financial Advisor for Prudential Securities and Morgan Stanley. Bennett is considered an expert in technical analysis; he frequently lectures and recently authored the bestselling book The ART of Trading.


Actually to come to think about it,its true, everytime a new elliotwave monthly newsletter comes around, it modifies my trading, and I get disoriented. Oxygen is your own interpretation, Nitrogen is others, so beware of Nitrogen narcosis. Dont inhale too much nitrogen.

Friday, September 17, 2010

Technical vs fundamental

For a technical traders his world is the charts and what he makes of it. If he get entangled with fundamental setups it maybe to his doom. Most fundamental setups takes time to unfold and it may not as well as circumstances changes. With technical charts, we may not why but we know when. To know When is more crucial to the trader than Why. Some fundamental analyst is saying Amazon is overvalued or CBA is above in premium compared to the other 3 banks in Australia. There might be a case to short or hold but when. As a trader I want to know When ?? I don't want my money a day longer than necessary waiting for something that might or not come and takes ages in the mean time.
Trouble starts when you get ahead of yourself. The popular trader's adage, trade what you see not what you think. What that means is, dont put your chips on what you expect what the market will do next but instead trade whatever the charts is presenting you at the moment. For example if you look at the charts now you might feel that its getting toppish and thus prepare yours setup as so, and most newsletters and gurus are giving the warning signals as well. However, prices/charts have not signal a reversal as yet. So if you were to prepare a setup now it would mean you are setting up to fail. For you ARE NOT seeing a reversal. You are anticipating a reversal which may make you cautious in going long which is fine as long as you wait for rversal signal and confirmation for going short. At the same time market is still going up and some individual shares are logging in some decent profits and stocks that you have closed have also gone up after the "mini" correction or consolidation which you had hopped out. So you seem to be in a limbo now. To join in the bandwagon so to speak but it goes against your thinking now which says , stocks should turn and reverse. So, although you see an opportunity to go longyou feel an underlying jitter as well that tomorrom might be the D-Day and you get caught. So all in all use reason and calculated risk.
Feeling abit out of sort. Abit disoriented. Although the charts is showing a top or toppish,market sentiment seems to have become bullish. Take WOW for example, seems to have topped out but then again it could be a start of the 5th wave. CBA too. Is $54.20 the top or is that the peak of the 3rd wave ?...and by the way CSR did hit 1.82. And look at Harbvey Norman, increased 17cts in 2 days after position was closed.
Action to take :
Stay Away. Yes there will be a period whereby the trader feels disoriented. This is normal. Stay away for now. Clarity will return. This is the trader's nitrogen narcosis. Just like the diver has gone too deep for too long. The trader needs to return to shallower waters.


Looking like a wedge formation. Stochs struggling thru the O/B levels. On the other hand market sentiment seem sto have turn bullish. And prices for Woolsworths seems to have a little bit more upside. $29.90 seems to be the resistance for now. Prices are supported by moving averages. On normal circumstances would have adopted a wait and see attitude but with acct equity at a psyhcological level, just feeling edgy to get more. That impulse has resulted in a WOW trade. Either luck is on my side and I come thru or I will pay a price for the lesson not to be impulsive. Earlier have already been cleaned out of WPL trade gave up earlier profit due to volatile prices and stopped out. My gut feeling is to stick on with the trade. No choice.

Thursday, September 16, 2010

WOW : Woolsworth Wedge formation


WOW : Woolsworth Wedge formation
Continuation of down wave.

tradermark has sent you a link from www.afr.com

Fairfax Business Media
afr.com|AFR Market Wrap|AFR BOSS|AFR Magazine|AFR Smart Investor|Asset|BRW|CFO|FBR|MIS
 

tradermark sent you a link from afr.com

Related Quotes GNC GRAINCORP (GNC ) $7.610 $-0.18 (-2.31%) Volume 1414330 Value 10913460 5 Year 1 Day as at 16:10 Australia/Sydney 16 SEP 2010 View Full Quote �� Company Profile Principle Activity Provision of services to the grain industry. Website http://www.graincorp.com.au/ GICS Food Products (302020) ASIC ASIC 057186035 ASX Announcements 14/09/10 GRAINCORP PRESENTATION TO BBY CONFERENCE 13/09/10 Change in substantial holding from IFL 24/08/10 AWB DIRECTORS RECOMMEND AGRIUM PROPOSAL 16/08/10 NOTIFICATION OF ALTERNATIVE PROPOSAL BY AGRIUM FOR AWB 12/08/10 Letter to Shareholders - 12 August 2010 View All Announcements �� See Also People Analysis Financials Citigroup has on create upgraded its obtaining 12-month target coast price on ��afr.com also GrainCorp to $8.80 the from ��afr.com ��afr.com should reflecte $8.00 the after the storage, share Australian Bureau ��afr.com of ��afr.com for Agricultural storage, share and Resource ��afr.com port higher Economics volumes. upgraded experienced its grain experienced forecasts. ��afr.com carry-over year The broker growing the has maintained its ���buy��� ��afr.com ��afr.com rating on year

GrainCorp (GNC)

If the above link does not work, please copy & paste the whole of the following link into the subject line of your browser:

http://www.afr.com/p/markets/market_wrap/graincorp_gnc_7Gwi4VfnAT9XOH5C09ZmuK

 


You may need to subscribe to afr.com to view certain articles. If you are not already an afr.com subscriber subscribe now.This email was sent to by tradermarkIf you do not wish to receive further emails of this nature, please email tradermark.news.super@blogger.com directly. You will not be sent any messages from afr.com unless you visit the website and subscribe to our products, services or mailing lists.

©Copyright2008 Fairfax Media Publications Pty Ltd. |Privacy Policy

tradermark has sent you a link from www.afr.com

Fairfax Business Media
afr.com|AFR Market Wrap|AFR BOSS|AFR Magazine|AFR Smart Investor|Asset|BRW|CFO|FBR|MIS
 

tradermark sent you a link from afr.com

Chart looks similiar to CSR and HVN and maybe TAH.

Mincor Resources (MCR)

If the above link does not work, please copy & paste the whole of the following link into the subject line of your browser:

http://www.afr.com/p/markets/market_wrap/mincor_resources_mcr_V8dItsXgKWAgPkuJZyEDJI

 


You may need to subscribe to afr.com to view certain articles. If you are not already an afr.com subscriber subscribe now.This email was sent to by tradermarkIf you do not wish to receive further emails of this nature, please email tradermark.news.super@blogger.com directly. You will not be sent any messages from afr.com unless you visit the website and subscribe to our products, services or mailing lists.

©Copyright2008 Fairfax Media Publications Pty Ltd. |Privacy Policy

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Feeling abit jittery about the o/b level of Dow and also keeping an eye to short CBA, I have closed most of my positions. Can't really reconcile the contrary long positions with bearish outlook. Although I must say stocks live Harvey Norman which I have closed went up 8cts more today and I have an Aladdin lamp setup on it. However some I have done well to close like BP & WHC. CSR I have closed but set up is still good, but the overall bearish feeling got the better of me and I can't bear to see the good profit erode if the bearish scenario plays out. I am now left with WPL which hopefully breaks out of it's range.
Audusd : 5th wave in progress.
IBM criticize HP says Hurd took out all the r&d .
Korea property slump.
Gold keep going up.
Nokia Chairman & CEO exit at a time of new product launch.

wpl : Woodside petroleum :




Tuesday, September 14, 2010

CSR : Sugar sugar sugar



CSR is transforming or is wanting to transform itself into a property company. At the moment, sugar accounts for 1/3 of the Revenue. Is this a good move ? If the economy is expected to slow down, property is going to be affected. Teh saving grace could be sugar which is going up and up. The fate now lies with FIRB [foreign investment review board]. Go or no go ?? If its a goi it could be a one term windfall for CSR. If no go, mayalso be a saving grace for CSR. Either way I think in the short term is win-win. Or at worst neutral. Will stick on with the trade for now and see how it develops.

Whitehaven coal.



Whitehaven coal broke out of the triangular consolidation. However not entirley out of danger zone. Maybe a good point to take profit. Prices mayhave gone out but still below the upward trend channel. Or maybe further consolidation before the move up. Saving grace is strong buying volume

BP Plc :



Target 435p @ Resistance line.

DIA : Resistance line

Monday, September 13, 2010

Business confidence masks business conditions

Hi there, I saw this on ABC Online and thought you might be interested:

Business confidence masks business conditions
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/09/14/3011257.htm


*** DISCLAIMER ***
This message was sent to you using the "Send to a friend" facility on ABC Online (http://www.abc.net.au). To make a comment about this email, contact us: http://www.abc.net.au/contact/
Be sure to also include this entire email message.

LLOY : Target 82.00



At least for this wave, LLOY is completing wave 5. Target 82.00 which is 50% of Wave 1- Wave 4.
Updated: 10 Companies That May Be Ready to Collapse

Which bank will blink first?

4 Foreign Blue Chips for the Long Haul

Metastock Demo

Outlook: Concern over US appears overdone
http://www.morningstar.com.au/article.mvc/funds/september-outlook/2525

Sunday, September 12, 2010

Dominos : Upside




Friday, September 10, 2010

Thursday, September 9, 2010

WhiteHaven Coal.



Triangular Consolidation. Is the breakout to the upside as anticipated. Weekly moving average is supporting the current price. $5.95 has been the floor or support the last 5 weeks coming. Will prices break to the upside ? or crashed thru the floor of $5.95. Talks of mergers and acquisition has died down. Many talks abound that coal companies will follow fellow compatriot CEY or Centennial but so far nothing forth coming for Whitehaven although it has been widely touted as the next in line to be sold or acquired. With a dearth of M&A news, prices may retreat to reorg for a final push maybe. Or if all is good will break out of the consolidation which is my trade setup scenario at the moment.





Harvey Norman : Alladin's Lamp ??




UK : LLOY







Rolls Royce : Trade to the Upside :

Rolls Royce : Trade to the upside. Look at the moving averages dynamics on prices.
Currently prices is trapped in a moving averages-price air pocket. Waiting for it to
punch out of it.


Moving averages set to 9 on this RR monthly chart at Bigcharts.com


Moving averages set to 27 on Bigcharts.com



Moving averages set to 9 on Bigcharts.com

Account Happenings.

. sign up for Nasdaq Live feed. $1/month.
. Re-looking to fund E-Trade.
. Considering OptionXpress or rather US options.


. Have done both CFDs and Options on Aussie, UK and US stocks. CFDs on Major Forex and
Aud Pairs.
. Initial few months of CFDs was abit of a disaster. Almost wipe out account equity. But has
since then doubled from what was left and is on the black now.
. Different strategy for different scenario.
. Be versatile and stay flexible.

Watch List

Amazon : Look to short. Probably closer to $150.
Gold : Toppish
Oil : Glut.

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

WHC update :
-----------------
Prices still defending the support line at 5.95. Resistance at the 6.00 mark. Trying to keep a cool head about this. Sideways, prolong, long term fight us just not me. My conviction is that this is a 4th wave. There should be a 5th wave. How this 4th wave develops is iffy. Hopefully it stays a flat triangle and not a descending triangle in the manner of A-B-C.
Reference : CSR
---------------------
Feel like just jumping right into the trade. Price us at $1.75. Came down 1-1.5cts. Still above MA. Longer term chart shows consolidation. Daily stochs still showing weakness. Feeling like I will miss the boat if I don't jump in. However although the longer term chart is compelling. The daily chart is not. I will wait and see how prices develop.

In Pda brevity mode.